• RCEP: Kukunda kwenzvimbo yakavhurika

RCEP: Kukunda kwenzvimbo yakavhurika

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Mushure memakore manomwe enhaurirano dzemarathon, Chibvumirano cheRegional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement, kana RCEP - mega FTA inotora makondinendi maviri - yakatangwa pakupedzisira musi waNdira 1. Inosanganisira hupfumi hwe15, huwandu hwevanhu hunosvika mabhiriyoni 3.5 uye GDP ye $ 23 trillion. .Inoverengera 32.2 muzana yehupfumi hwenyika, 29.1 muzana yekutengeserana kwepasi rose uye 32.5 muzana yekudyara kwepasirese.

Panyaya yekutengeserana kwezvinhu, tariff concessions inobvumira kudzikiswa kwakanyanya muzvipingamupinyi zvemitero pakati pemapato eRCEP.Nechibvumirano cheRCEP chiri kutanga kushanda, dunhu richawana maremekero emutero pakutengeserana kwezvinhu nenzira dzakasiyana, kusanganisira kudzikiswa nekukurumidza kusvika zero tariff, kuderedzwa kwemutero wekuchinja, kudzikiswa kwemutero uye zvigadzirwa zvakasarudzika.Pakupedzisira, inopfuura 90 muzana yekutengeserana kwezvinhu zvakavharwa ichawana zero tariffs.

Kunyanya, kuitwa kweiyo cumulative mitemo yekwakabva, imwe yezviratidzo zveRCEP, zvinoreva kuti chero bedzi maitiro ekuunganidza akazadzikiswa mushure mekushandura yakatemerwa mutero wemutero, iwo anogona kuunganidzwa, ayo anozowedzera kusimbisa indasitiri. uye kukosha kweketani mudunhu reAsia-Pacific uye nekumhanyisa kubatanidzwa kwehupfumi ikoko.

Panyaya yekutengeserana mumasevhisi, iyo RCEP inoratidza zano rekuvhura zvishoma nezvishoma.Nzira isina kunaka yerondedzero inotambirwa kuJapan, Korea, Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore neBrunei, nepo nhengo sere dzasara, kusanganisira China, dzakatora nzira yakanaka yekunyora uye vakazvipira kuchinjika kune rondedzero isina kunaka mukati memakore matanhatu.Pamusoro pezvo, RCEP inosanganisira zvemari uye kufambiswa kwemashoko senzvimbo dzekuwedzera kusununguka, izvo zvinovandudza zvakanyanya kujeka uye kuenderana kwemitemo pakati penhengo uye zvinotungamira kuenderera mberi kwekuvandudza kwemasangano mukubatana kwehupfumi mudunhu reAsia-Pacific.

China inosungirwa kuita basa rakawanda mukuvhurika kwenharaunda.Iyi ndiyo yekutanga yedunhu FTA ine nhengo dzinosanganisira China uye, nekuda kweRCEP, kutengeserana nevadyidzani veFTA kunotarisirwa kuwedzera kubva pamakumi maviri nenomwe muzana kusvika makumi matatu neshanu muzana.China ndeimwe yevabatsiri zvikuru veRCEP, asi mipiro yayo ichave yakakosha.Iyo RCEP ichagonesa China kuburitsa mukana wayo wemusika mukuru, uye spillover mhedzisiro yekukura kwehupfumi hwayo ichaburitswa zvizere.

Nezve kudiwa kwepasi rose, China iri kuita zvishoma nezvishoma imwe yematatu hubs.Mumazuva ekutanga, iyo US neGermany chete ndiyo yaitora chinzvimbo ichi, asi nekuwedzera kwemusika weChina, yakazvimisikidza pakati peiyo Asia yekudiwa cheni uye kunyange zvinhu pasi rose.

Mumakore achangopfuura, China yakatsvaga kudzoreredza kusimudzira kwayo hupfumi, izvo zvinoreva kuti kunyange ichiwedzera kuwedzera kwayo kunze kwenyika ichawedzerawo nekushingaira zvinhu zvayo.China ndiyo inodyidzana nayo huru yekutengesa uye sosi yezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kuASEAN, Japan, South Korea, Australia neNew Zealand.Muna 2020, zvinhu zvakatengwa neChina kubva kunhengo dzeRCEP zvakasvika mabhiriyoni mazana manomwe nemakumi manomwe nenomwe emadhora, zvichidarika zvakatengeswa kunze kwenyika kwavari zvinosvika mabhiriyoni mazana manomwe nemazana manomwe emadhora, ingangoita chikamu chimwe muzvina chezvakatengeswa kunze kwenyika mukati megore.Nhamba dzetsika dzinoratidza kuti mumwedzi gumi neimwe yekutanga yegore rino, zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika neChina kune dzimwe nhengo gumi neina dzeRCEP zvakawedzera 10.96 trillion yuan, inomiririra 31 muzana yehuwandu hwayo hwekutengeserana kunze kwenyika panguva imwe cheteyo.

Mugore rekutanga mushure mekunge chibvumirano cheRCEP chatanga kushanda, mwero wepakati weChina wekupinza mutero we9.8% uchaderedzwa, zvichiteerana, kune ASEAN nyika (3.2 muzana), South Korea (6.2 muzana), Japan (7.2 muzana), Australia (3.3 muzana. ) neNew Zealand (3,3 muzana).

Pakati pavo, hurongwa hwemaviri emitero yechibvumirano neJapan inonyanya kutaridzika.Kekutanga, China neJapan dzasvika pachibvumirano chekutengesa mutero wepasirese mativi ese ari maviri akadzikisa zvakanyanya mutero mune akati wandei minda, kusanganisira michina nemidziyo, ruzivo rwemagetsi, makemikari, indasitiri yemwenje uye machira.Parizvino, zvikamu zvisere chete kubva muzana zvezvigadzirwa zvemaindasitiri zveJapan zvinotumirwa kuChina ndizvo zvinofanirwa kubhadharwa zero.Pasi pechibvumirano cheRCEP, China ichasunungura ingangoita 86 muzana yezvigadzirwa zveJapan zvakagadzirwa kubva mumitengo yekunze muzvikamu, kunyanya zvinosanganisira makemikari, zvigadzirwa zvemaziso, zvigadzirwa zvesimbi, zvikamu zveinjini uye zvikamu zvemotokari.

Kazhinji, iyo RCEP yakasimudza bhawa kumusoro kupfuura yapfuura FTAs ​​mudunhu reAsia, uye nhanho yekuvhurika pasi peRCEP yakakwira zvakanyanya kupfuura iyo 10 + 1 FTAs.Pamusoro pezvo, RCEP ichabatsira kusimudzira mitemo isingachinjiki mumusika wakabatana, kwete chete nenzira yekuwana musika wakasununguka uye kudzikisira zvipingamupinyi zvisiri zvemitero asiwo maererano netsika dzese dzetsika uye kufambisa kutengeserana, izvo zvinoenda mberi kupfuura iyo WTO's. Trade Facilitation Agreement.

Nekudaro, iyo RCEP ichiri kuda kutsvaga nzira yekusimudzira mazinga ayo achipesana nechizvarwa chinotevera chemitemo yekutengesa kwepasirese.Kuenzaniswa neCPTPP uye maitiro aripo emitemo mitsva yekutengeserana kwepasi rose, RCEP inofungidzirwa kuti inotarisa zvakanyanya pamitero uye kwete-tariff barrier reduction, pane nyaya dziri kubuda dzakadai sekuchengetedzwa kwehupfumi hwepfungwa.Naizvozvo, kuitira kuti mubatanidzwa wehupfumi wedunhu usvike padanho repamusoro, RCEP inofanirwa kuita nhaurirano dzakakwidziridzwa pazvinhu zviri kubuda sekutenga kwehurumende, kuchengetedza pfuma yehungwaru, kusarerekera kwemakwikwi uye e-commerce.

Munyori ndiye Senior Fellow kuChina Center for International Economic Exchanges.

Chinyorwa chakatanga kuburitswa pa chinausfocus muna Ndira 24, 2022.

Maonero haafanire kuratidza ayo ekambani yedu.


Nguva yekutumira: Mar-04-2022